Central banks
The rate each of the seven main central banks sets, read from the bank’s own statistics, every change they made in the past five years, and when the Fed decides next.
Policy rates
Each bank’s own data · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ETFederal Reserve
4.00%
+25 bp on Sep 17
Federal funds target range, upper limit · Nov 10
European Central Bank
2.50%
+25 bp on Sep 16
Deposit facility rate · Nov 10
Bank of England
4.00%
+25 bp on Nov 5
Bank Rate · Nov 9
Bank of Japan
1.23%
+25 bp on Sep 24
Call rate · Nov 6
Bank of Canada
2.50%
+25 bp on Oct 29
Target for the overnight rate · Nov 9
Swiss National Bank
0.00%
−25 bp on Jun 20
SNB policy rate · Nov 6
Reserve Bank of Australia
4.85%
+25 bp on Nov 4
Cash rate target · Nov 9
The seven rates
Level, the last change, and how much each bank moved in the past year| Bank | Rate % | Last change | Past year |
|---|---|---|---|
| Federal ReserveFederal funds target range, upper limit | 4.00 | +25 bpSep 17, 2026 | 0 bp2 changes |
| European Central BankDeposit facility rate | 2.50 | +25 bpSep 16, 2026 | +50 bp2 changes |
| Bank of EnglandBank Rate | 4.00 | +25 bpNov 5, 2026 | 0 bp2 changes |
| Bank of JapanUncollateralised overnight call rate (average) | 1.23 | +25 bpSep 24, 2026 | +75 bp3 changes |
| Bank of CanadaTarget for the overnight rate | 2.50 | +25 bpOct 29, 2026 | +25 bp1 change |
| Swiss National BankSNB policy rate | 0.00 | −25 bpJun 20, 2025 | 0 bp0 changes |
| Reserve Bank of AustraliaCash rate target | 4.85 | +25 bpNov 4, 2026 | +125 bp5 changes |
The Bank of Japan steers the overnight call rate inside a target it states in words; the page shows the call rate itself and counts a move of 10 bp or more as a change. The Fed row is the top of its target range.
- Federal Reserve
- European Central Bank
- Bank of England
- Bank of Japan
Every change in the past year
Newest first, dated by the first day the new rate applied| Effective | Bank | From % | To % | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Bank of England | 3.75 | 4.00 | +25 bp |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Reserve Bank of Australia | 4.60 | 4.85 | +25 bp |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Bank of Canada | 2.25 | 2.50 | +25 bp |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Reserve Bank of Australia | 4.35 | 4.60 | +25 bp |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Bank of Japan | 0.98 | 1.23 | +25 bp |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Federal Reserve | 3.75 | 4.00 | +25 bp |
| Sep 16, 2026 | European Central Bank | 2.25 | 2.50 | +25 bp |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Bank of Japan | 0.73 | 0.98 | +25 bp |
| Jun 17, 2026 | European Central Bank | 2.00 | 2.25 | +25 bp |
| May 6, 2026 | Reserve Bank of Australia | 4.10 | 4.35 | +25 bp |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Reserve Bank of Australia | 3.85 | 4.10 | +25 bp |
| Feb 4, 2026 | Reserve Bank of Australia | 3.60 | 3.85 | +25 bp |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Bank of Japan | 0.48 | 0.73 | +25 bp |
| Dec 18, 2025 | Bank of England | 4.00 | 3.75 | −25 bp |
| Dec 11, 2025 | Federal Reserve | 4.00 | 3.75 | −25 bp |
Where overnight dollars trade inside the Fed’s range: Cash & funding. What the Treasury curve prices for the Fed: Rates.
Open Calls
Dated forecasts on this subject, scored in public when they resolve- 72%Will the ECB’s published deposit facility rate be at most 2.5% on 6 November 2026?Open Call · resolves Nov 6, 2026 · Call Card
- 62%Will the ECB euro reference rate for the Swiss franc reach at least 0.9167 CHF per EUR on any published date by 2026-11-12?Open Call · resolves Nov 12, 2026 · Call Card
- 68%Will the ECB’s published deposit facility rate be at most 2.5% on 28 November 2026?Open Call · resolves Nov 28, 2026 · Call Card
- 15%Will the ECB raise its key interest rates by 25 bp at a meeting before 28 November 2026?Open Call · resolves Nov 28, 2026 · Call Card
Every Call and how it resolved: Track record.
ARCANE reporting
Published investigations, newest first
Against Interest
Waller leans toward a December rate rise even if inflation easesInvestors in bond and stock funds face uncertainty over the Fed’s December decision as officials await more inflation data.
rates · Nov 10, 2026
Who Pays
Knot and De Cos are the only ECB candidatesIf Knot is chosen, a Dutch member of the ECB board would have to resign.
rates · Nov 8, 2026
The Numbers Disagree
Strong jobs data pushes Treasury yields higherHigher Treasury yields put pressure on bond holders and stock buyers as investors consider another Federal Reserve rate increase.
Rates · Nov 7, 2026
The Numbers Disagree
Central banks accelerate gold buying as jewellery demand weakensThe World Gold Council expects official purchases to match last year as jewellery demand weakens and gold-backed fund holdings reach a record.
consumer-health-financials · Nov 4, 2026
Sources
Each bank’s own data, and when it was read- Federal Reserve, via FREDFederal funds target range, upper limit (DFEDTARU)Data for Nov 10, 2026 · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ET
- European Central BankDeposit facility rate (FM.D.U2.EUR.4F.KR.DFR.LEV)Data for Nov 10, 2026 · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ET
- Bank of EnglandOfficial Bank Rate (IUDBEDR)Data for Nov 9, 2026 · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ET
- Bank of JapanCall rate, uncollateralised overnight, average (STRDCLUCON)Data for Nov 6, 2026 · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ET
- Bank of CanadaTarget for the overnight rate (V39079)Data for Nov 9, 2026 · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ET
- Swiss National BankSNB policy rate (snbgwdzid, LZ)Data for Nov 6, 2026 · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ET
- Reserve Bank of AustraliaTable F1, cash rate target (FIRMMCRTD)Data for Nov 9, 2026 · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ET
- Federal Reserve BoardFOMC meeting calendarData for Nov 10, 2026 · read Nov 10, 11:45 AM ET