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Alt Data

Off normal: Alt Data

Everything ARCANE reads from outside the price, in one field. What traders pay for outcomes, where ships call, what the straits carry, who is hiring, and what the Pacific is doing, each placed against its own normal. The centre line is normal. The further a mark sits from it, the stranger the week.

136 readings6 of 6 measures answeringPage read Nov 9, 10:50 AM EST

Furthest off normal · US job postings, by occupation · data to Oct 30, 2026

Mechanical Engineering +44.8%

against same week a year earlier

Postings at 171.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +44.8% on a year.

−44.8%Same week a year earlier+44.8%

Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 30, 2026 · the full page

Why it stands out

  • 4.8×the usual spread of the 47 readings in this lane, measured from their median.
  • 1stThe furthest of 47 from normal this week.

Where it connects

On ARCANE

Also off normal

  1. Port callsJebel Ali−81%3.3× its lane’s spread
  2. Chokepoint transitsCape of Good Hope+102%3.0× its lane’s spread
  3. Job postings, by countryCanada+3.9%1.1× its lane’s spread
  4. Niño 3.4 sea temperatureWeek of Nov 4, 2026 (newest)+3.3°C0.8× its lane’s spread

The field

Each lane has its own scale and its own normal. Point at a mark, or tab into the field and use the arrow keys.

Prediction markets

Centre: Price a week ago

Kalshi, Polymarket · data to Nov 9, 10:22 AM EST

Port calls

Centre: 2019–2023 normal for the week

IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 30, 2026

Chokepoint transits

Centre: 2019–2023 normal

IMF PortWatch · data to Nov 1, 2026

US job postings, by occupation

Centre: Same week a year earlier

Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 30, 2026

Job postings, by country

Centre: Same week a year earlier

Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 30, 2026

Niño 3.4 sea temperature

Centre: 1991–2020 average

NOAA Climate Prediction Center · data to Nov 4, 2026

Every reading as a table
Prediction markets · centre: price a week ago · Kalshi, Polymarket · data to Nov 9, 10:22 AM EST
ReadingOff normalDetail
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...: November 15+27 ptsPolymarket prices November 15 at 94%, up 27 points on the week.
US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...: November 30−16 ptsPolymarket prices November 30 at 11%, down 16 points on the week.
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026: Above 70K+15 ptsKalshi prices Above 70K at 57%, up 15 points on the week.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...: November 15−12 ptsPolymarket prices November 15 at 6%, down 12 points on the week.
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...: November 30−12 ptsPolymarket prices November 30 at 18%, down 12 points on the week.
CPI YoY in November: Above 3.6%−9 ptsKalshi prices Above 3.6% at 76%, down 9 points on the week.
Fed decision in Dec 2026: Hike 25 bp+8 ptsKalshi prices Hike 25 bp at 79%, up 8 points on the week.
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027−8 ptsPolymarket prices it at 10%, down 8 points on the week.
Crude Oil all time high by...: December 31−8 ptsPolymarket prices December 31 at 6%, down 8 points on the week.
What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of December: ↓ $3,500−7 ptsPolymarket prices ↓ $3,500 at 8%, down 7 points on the week.
US real GDP growth in Q4 2026: Above 2.5%+5 ptsKalshi prices Above 2.5% at 70%, up 5 points on the week.
Iran leadership change by...: November 30−4 ptsPolymarket prices November 30 at 2%, down 4 points on the week.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30−3 ptsPolymarket prices it at 4%, down 3 points on the week.
U.S. tariff rate on China on December 31, 2026: 5–15%+3 ptsPolymarket prices 5–15% at 91%, up 3 points on the week.
US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by...: November 30−2 ptsPolymarket prices November 30 at 30%, down 2 points on the week.
Recession this year−1 ptsKalshi prices it at 2%, down 1 points on the week.
Recession in 2027−1 ptsKalshi prices it at 22%, down 1 points on the week.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31−1 ptsPolymarket prices it at 12%, down 1 points on the week.
Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027: Israel−1 ptsPolymarket prices Israel at 11%, down 1 points on the week.
Unemployment in November: Above 4.0%0 ptsKalshi prices Above 4.0% at 80%, unchanged on the week.
Port calls · centre: 2019–2023 normal for the week · IMF PortWatch · data to Oct 30, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Jebel Ali−81%4.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −81% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Shenzhen (Shekou)−44%5.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −44% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Shanghai−43%67.3 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −43% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Colombo+36%11.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, +36% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Nhava Sheva (Mumbai)+36%25.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, +36% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Piraeus−31%9.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −31% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Hong Kong−29%33.3 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −29% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Hamburg−27%14.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −27% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Houston+21%23.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, +21% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Antwerp−20%49.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −20% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Rotterdam−19%74.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −19% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Busan−18%46.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −18% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Kaohsiung−15%30.9 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −15% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Los Angeles–Long Beach+14%11.3 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, +14% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Santos−14%13.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −14% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Tianjin−12%29.1 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −12% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Ningbo−10%45.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −10% against the 2019–2023 normal.
New York–New Jersey−9%9.7 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −9% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Qingdao−6%30.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −6% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Savannah+5%6.4 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, +5% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Singapore−4%115.0 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −4% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Port Klang−3%30.3 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, −3% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Tanger Med+2%12.6 calls a day over the week to Oct 30, 2026, +2% against the 2019–2023 normal.
Chokepoint transits · centre: 2019–2023 normal · IMF PortWatch · data to Nov 1, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Cape of Good Hope+102%92.0 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 45.5.
Hormuz−95%4.4 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 85.1.
Bab el-Mandeb−57%27.3 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 63.5.
Bosphorus−56%44.4 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 101.1.
Suez−33%43.0 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 64.2.
Danish straits−23%38.7 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 50.0.
Panama−17%27.3 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 32.9.
Malacca+12%202.7 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 181.0.
Taiwan Strait+3%247.0 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 239.5.
Gibraltar+1%131.6 transits a day from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026, against a normal of 130.8.
US job postings, by occupation · centre: same week a year earlier · Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 30, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Mechanical Engineering+44.8%Postings at 171.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +44.8% on a year.
Industrial Engineering+40.5%Postings at 125.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +40.5% on a year.
Electrical Engineering+34.6%Postings at 155.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +34.6% on a year.
Software Development+23.8%Postings at 81.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), +23.8% on a year.
Scientific Research & Development+21.5%Postings at 84.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +21.5% on a year.
Project Management+16.0%Postings at 117.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +16.0% on a year.
Human Resources+15.2%Postings at 98.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +15.2% on a year.
Aviation+14.5%Postings at 118.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +14.5% on a year.
Production & Manufacturing+14.5%Postings at 126.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +14.5% on a year.
Dental−12.8%Postings at 118.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), −12.8% on a year.
Banking & Finance+12.1%Postings at 108.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +12.1% on a year.
Loading & Stocking+11.0%Postings at 107.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +11.0% on a year.
IT Systems & Solutions+10.9%Postings at 77.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +10.9% on a year.
Childcare−9.8%Postings at 85.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −9.8% on a year.
Logistic Support+9.7%Postings at 120.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +9.7% on a year.
Arts & Entertainment+9.4%Postings at 86.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), +9.4% on a year.
Education & Instruction−8.9%Postings at 107.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), −8.9% on a year.
Management+8.6%Postings at 105.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), +8.6% on a year.
Pharmacy+8.4%Postings at 123.4 (1 February 2020 = 100), +8.4% on a year.
IT Infrastructure, Operations & Support+7.7%Postings at 69.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +7.7% on a year.
Personal Care & Home Health+7.2%Postings at 160.7 (1 February 2020 = 100), +7.2% on a year.
Social Science−7.1%Postings at 120.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), −7.1% on a year.
Media & Communications+6.7%Postings at 67.2 (1 February 2020 = 100), +6.7% on a year.
Physicians & Surgeons+6.4%Postings at 196.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +6.4% on a year.
Medical Information−5.9%Postings at 88.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), −5.9% on a year.
Civil Engineering+5.4%Postings at 160.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), +5.4% on a year.
Construction+5.1%Postings at 128.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +5.1% on a year.
Community & Social Service−4.7%Postings at 105.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), −4.7% on a year.
Retail+4.7%Postings at 89.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), +4.7% on a year.
Insurance+4.5%Postings at 125.6 (1 February 2020 = 100), +4.5% on a year.
Accounting−4.3%Postings at 106.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), −4.3% on a year.
Hospitality & Tourism−4.2%Postings at 85.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), −4.2% on a year.
Data & Analytics+4.2%Postings at 61.8 (1 February 2020 = 100), +4.2% on a year.
Architecture+4.1%Postings at 91.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), +4.1% on a year.
Security & Public Safety+3.6%Postings at 117.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.6% on a year.
Installation & Maintenance+3.3%Postings at 117.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.3% on a year.
Cleaning & Sanitation+3.3%Postings at 102.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.3% on a year.
Food Preparation & Service−3.0%Postings at 96.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −3.0% on a year.
Therapy+3.0%Postings at 191.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), +3.0% on a year.
Driving−2.8%Postings at 84.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), −2.8% on a year.
Legal+2.8%Postings at 124.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), +2.8% on a year.
Medical Technician−2.2%Postings at 125.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −2.2% on a year.
Administrative Assistance−1.2%Postings at 92.9 (1 February 2020 = 100), −1.2% on a year.
Nursing−1.2%Postings at 111.1 (1 February 2020 = 100), −1.2% on a year.
Sales+0.8%Postings at 92.5 (1 February 2020 = 100), +0.8% on a year.
Marketing−0.7%Postings at 77.3 (1 February 2020 = 100), −0.7% on a year.
Customer Service−0.1%Postings at 87.0 (1 February 2020 = 100), −0.1% on a year.
Job postings, by country · centre: same week a year earlier · Indeed Hiring Lab · data to Oct 30, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
France−16.0%Postings at 88.5 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, −16.0% on a year.
Italy−15.0%Postings at 136.5 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, −15.0% on a year.
Netherlands−9.6%Postings at 114.8 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, −9.6% on a year.
Germany−9.3%Postings at 105.1 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, −9.3% on a year.
United Kingdom−8.6%Postings at 69.1 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, −8.6% on a year.
Spain−4.4%Postings at 142.3 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, −4.4% on a year.
Canada+3.9%Postings at 104.7 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, +3.9% on a year.
United States+3.2%Postings at 103.8 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, +3.2% on a year.
Ireland−1.6%Postings at 103.8 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, −1.6% on a year.
Australia+0.9%Postings at 150.4 (1 February 2020 = 100) in the week to Oct 30, 2026, +0.9% on a year.
Niño 3.4 sea temperature · centre: 1991–2020 average · NOAA Climate Prediction Center · data to Nov 4, 2026
ReadingOff normalDetail
Week of Oct 21, 2026+3.4°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.4°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Oct 21, 2026.
Week of Oct 28, 2026+3.4°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.4°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Oct 28, 2026.
Week of Nov 4, 2026 (newest)+3.3°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.3°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Nov 4, 2026.
Week of Sep 30, 2026+3.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 30, 2026.
Week of Oct 7, 2026+3.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Oct 7, 2026.
Week of Oct 14, 2026+3.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Oct 14, 2026.
Week of Sep 23, 2026+3.1°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.1°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 23, 2026.
Week of Sep 16, 2026+3.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +3.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 16, 2026.
Week of Sep 2, 2026+2.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 2, 2026.
Week of Sep 9, 2026+2.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Sep 9, 2026.
Week of Aug 12, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 12, 2026.
Week of Aug 19, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 19, 2026.
Week of Aug 26, 2026+2.6°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.6°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 26, 2026.
Week of Aug 5, 2026+2.5°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.5°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Aug 5, 2026.
Week of Jul 29, 2026+2.4°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.4°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 29, 2026.
Week of Jul 22, 2026+2.2°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.2°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 22, 2026.
Week of Jul 15, 2026+2.1°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.1°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 15, 2026.
Week of Jul 8, 2026+2.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +2.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 8, 2026.
Week of Jun 24, 2026+1.8°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.8°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 24, 2026.
Week of Jun 17, 2026+1.7°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.7°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 17, 2026.
Week of Jul 1, 2026+1.7°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.7°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jul 1, 2026.
Week of Jun 10, 2026+1.5°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.5°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 10, 2026.
Week of Jun 3, 2026+1.3°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.3°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on Jun 3, 2026.
Week of May 27, 2026+1.0°CNiño 3.4 averaged +1.0°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 27, 2026.
Week of May 13, 2026+0.9°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.9°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 13, 2026.
Week of May 20, 2026+0.9°CNiño 3.4 averaged +0.9°C against 1991–2020 in the week centred on May 20, 2026.

The Pacific, week by week

NOAA Climate Prediction Center · read Nov 9, 5:48 AM EST · data to Nov 4, 2026

+3.3°C

Niño 3.4, week of Nov 4, 2026
NOAA status: El Niño Advisory

May 13, 2026Each stripe one week, against the 1991–2020 average. Amber warmer, blue cooler; deeper colour, larger departure.Nov 4, 2026

Where Washington’s money went this week

USAspending · read Nov 9, 9:44 AM EST · newest Nov 4, 2026

The 50 largest new federal contracts signed Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 9, 2026, $220M together, blocked by the agency that signed them. Area is dollars. The solid tiles are winners that trade on a US exchange (3 this week).

Jett'S Specialty Contracting, LLC$10.2MServiam Construction LLC$8.2MChimborazo Jv$5.9MPrimary Care Solutions Inc$5.2MMedex Medical Transport Service Inc$4.2MVeterans Development Corporation, Inc.$4.0MMonument Construction Services, LLC$3.8MValor Healthcare Inc$2.9MPafford Medical Services, Inc.$2.7MAesus Design Group LLC$2.3MAesus Design Group LLC$2.1MSpur Design, LLC$2.0MSpur Design, LLC$1.8MHome Maintenance Group LLC$1.6MRose Villa Inc$1.4M
Pmx Industries, Inc.$13.5MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.1MStonex Financial LTD$5.0MStonex Financial LTD$3.4M
Blue Origin, LLC$25.4MLMTLockheed Martin Corporation$5.4MDoxa Space LLC$2.5MAdvon Corporation$2.3MCinedesign Group LLC$1.5M
East Baking Company, Inc.$6.8MCargill, Incorporated$5.1MGentry Controls & Consulting LLC$3.3MChristian Dozer & Trucking Inc$2.9MPostive Feed LTD$2.0M
Shield Ai Inc$5.2MPacific Shipyards International, LLC$3.7MGxc Inc$3.0MG I Industrial-Marine, LLC$1.5M
Integrated Data Services, LLC$7.0MWright Bros LLC$1.9MM. C. Dean, Inc.$1.5MLb & B Associates Inc$1.3M
Southwestern Dakotah Inc$5.7MDELLDell Federal Systems L.P$3.1MPdo-Pks Jv LLC$2.0M
ACNAccenture Federal Services LLC$10.5M
Cape-Aptim JV1, LLC$10.0M
Cyberstar LLC$2.2MCredence Management Solutions Limited Liability Company$2.0MLightfeather Io LLC$1.6M
Whiting-Turner Contracting Company, The$2.3M
Bradesco Saude S/A$1.7M
Four Points Technology, L.L.C.$1.5M
Jett'S Specialty Contracting, LLC$10.2MServiam Construction LLC$8.2MChimborazo Jv$5.9MPrimary Care Solutions Inc$5.2MMedex Medical Transport Service Inc$4.2MVeterans Development Corporation, Inc.$4.0MMonument Construction Services, LLC$3.8MValor Healthcare Inc$2.9MPafford Medical Services, Inc.$2.7MAesus Design Group LLC$2.3MAesus Design Group LLC$2.1MSpur Design, LLC$2.0MSpur Design, LLC$1.8MHome Maintenance Group LLC$1.6MRose Villa Inc$1.4M
Pmx Industries, Inc.$13.5MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.2MStonex Financial LTD$5.1MStonex Financial LTD$5.0MStonex Financial LTD$3.4M
Blue Origin, LLC$25.4MLMTLockheed Martin Corporation$5.4MDoxa Space LLC$2.5MAdvon Corporation$2.3MCinedesign Group LLC$1.5M
East Baking Company, Inc.$6.8MCargill, Incorporated$5.1MGentry Controls & Consulting LLC$3.3MChristian Dozer & Trucking Inc$2.9MPostive Feed LTD$2.0M
Shield Ai Inc$5.2MPacific Shipyards International, LLC$3.7MGxc Inc$3.0MG I Industrial-Marine, LLC$1.5M
Integrated Data Services, LLC$7.0MWright Bros LLC$1.9MM. C. Dean, Inc.$1.5MLb & B Associates Inc$1.3M
Southwestern Dakotah Inc$5.7MDELLDell Federal Systems L.P$3.1MPdo-Pks Jv LLC$2.0M
ACNAccenture Federal Services LLC$10.5M
Cape-Aptim JV1, LLC$10.0M
Cyberstar LLC$2.2MCredence Management Solutions Limited Liability Company$2.0MLightfeather Io LLC$1.6M
Whiting-Turner Contracting Company, The$2.3M
Bradesco Saude S/A$1.7M
Four Points Technology, L.L.C.$1.5M

Point at a tile, or tab to it, to read the award. Each opens on USAspending.gov.

The five pages

Every source and its limits →
  1. 01

    Prediction markets

    What traders pay for the Fed, inflation, recession, war and trade outcomes

    Kalshi, Polymarket · read Nov 9, 10:22 AM EST · priced Nov 9, 10:22 AM EST

    79%

    Fed decision in Dec 2026: hike 25 bp

  2. 02

    Shipping

    Chokepoint transits and port calls against normal, from ship positions

    IMF PortWatch · read Nov 9, 5:48 AM EST · data to Oct 30, 2026

    3 of 10

    Straits binding: Bosphorus, Bab el-Mandeb, Hormuz

  3. 03

    Procurement

    New federal contracts this week, and which listed companies won them

    USAspending · read Nov 9, 9:44 AM EST · newest Nov 4, 2026

    $220M

    Top 50 new awards, 7 days

  4. 04

    Satellite & environment

    El Niño, active storms, major quakes and open natural events

    NOAA · read Nov 9, 5:48 AM EST · data to Nov 4, 2026

    +3.3°C

    Niño 3.4 · El Niño Advisory

  5. 05

    Hiring

    Job postings by country and occupation, weeks before payrolls

    Indeed Hiring Lab · read Nov 9, 5:48 AM EST · data to Oct 30, 2026

    +3.2%

    US job postings on a year, seasonally adjusted

Open Calls on what Alt Data measures

Every Call and how it resolved →

ARCANE reporting

Investigations built on alternative evidence
Chain ReactionLower yields help gold after the midterm voteGold holders face a test from US jobs data because stronger hiring could lift yields and the dollar, putting pressure on bullion.Early WarningIran raises oil risks with a tanker report in HormuzOil tankers and US bases are exposed if an unconfirmed attack report becomes the basis for retaliation.Early WarningChina builds Antelope Reef into an island big enough for a runwayVietnam and a busy shipping corridor would sit within reach of any airfield built on the new ground, and satellite images will show first whether one comes.SemiconductorsAXT plans Beijing indium-phosphide wafer expansion while U.S. approvals remain unresolvedAXT’s unresolved August approvals make the next filing window decisive for whether funded capacity becomes usable supply for U.S. buyers.ArchiveChina’s transformer shipments outpaced all published U.S. grid-capacity projectionsThe Trump administration banned key grid equipment as China’s exports surged, leaving American utilities exposed to global delivery delays documented in customs data.

How Alt Data admits a source

Every source and its limits →
01Public and checkable

Every source is published by the body that measures it and free to read, and each figure links to it.

02Dated

Each figure shows the date its data runs to and when ARCANE last read it.

03Limits stated

Each source’s registry entry says what it cannot tell you, beside what it measures.

04Nothing in its place

A source that stops answering is shown as unavailable, with the time it stopped. No sample, estimate or old figure stands in for it.